Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OSMO prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.497028 0.543814 0.594926 0.655249 0.724939 0.803465 0.899413
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.415081 0.483019 0.564491 0.671217 0.810190 0.989324 1.245362
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.351951 0.428015 0.525709 0.664503 0.864102 1.154264 1.637993
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.318159 0.401418 0.514797 0.687990 0.961550 1.410742 2.299646
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.281574 0.364273 0.481553 0.670302 0.990285 1.569679 2.903257
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.248541 0.327165 0.441884 0.633580 0.976158 1.645840 3.398106
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.222668 0.297180 0.408414 0.600098 0.958214 1.706906 3.917274
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.211266 0.287125 0.403857 0.613593 1.030522 1.992186 5.435954
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.206418 0.286253 0.413368 0.653042 1.166327 2.508607 8.881628
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.195954 0.275425 0.404910 0.657328 1.227530 2.868321 12.869919
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.183360 0.260047 0.386946 0.640015 1.233446 3.065160 16.820249
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.173403 0.248160 0.373818 0.630335 1.255885 3.340505 23.640453
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.164541 0.237895 0.363413 0.626646 1.298995 3.762841 39.036092
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.157369 0.230080 0.356964 0.631212 1.370029 4.410155 85.171268
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.148972 0.219576 0.344567 0.620844 1.395981 4.898782 194.999837
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.144871 0.216157 0.345134 0.640243 1.523371 6.204650 3922.846484
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.137180 0.205865 0.331430 0.623562 1.526166 6.733390 NaN
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.128401 0.193128 0.311939 0.590185 1.460968 6.663986 NaN
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.120620 0.181783 0.294453 0.559848 1.399862 6.580011 NaN
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.117746 0.179082 0.293954 0.571987 1.500879 8.216533 NaN
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.117199 0.180539 0.301960 0.607516 1.713923 12.154366 NaN
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.113824 0.176546 0.298308 0.611363 1.798164 15.093794 NaN
2025-05-11 00:00:00+00:00 0.109072 0.169720 0.288155 0.595775 1.788171 16.394176 NaN